Market Update - June 26, 2024

Here we are

What a difference a week makes!

Or not. Bitcoin price is down 6% since my last update. A 6% swing is trivial over any given week. I wouldn’t blink if it happened in a single day.

Don’t worry about Mt. Gox. They only hold $9 billion BTC—large enough to weigh down Bitcoin’s price but not so much that they can change the trajectory of a $1 trillion asset. Let's not make a mountain out of a molehill.

You can see what they're doing by following their wallets. Here are the addresses:

Likewise for the billions of dollars in the hands of governments. BitcoinTreasuries keeps track of this. Combined, governments own a lot more than the $200 million the US plans to sell and the $50 million Germany just sold.

Obstacles to overcome, not reasons to worry.

I don’t think people appreciate how extreme our upswing went earlier this year (you did, because you subscribe to this newsletter). It takes a while to recover from something like that.

If you're going to worry about anything, worry about the solvency of Tether or the persistent selling from large entities and long-time HODLers. Today’s update covers these topics:

  • Video

  • A marathon masquerading as a sprint

  • Are miners finally capitulating?

  • Bull market support band

  • Bounce now and up forever?

  • Metrics and behaviors

  • Normal stuff for Act 3

I strongly advise you to read the summary below and watch the video update! You miss too much when you get only one of them!

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