Savvy Investors Know Where to Get Their News—Do You?

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Somebody said the US government is about to dump $6 billion worth of bitcoin on the market.

I'm told that's enough money to end homelessness in the US, but people only say that when they talk about money going to other countries. This money is going back to the US. So maybe it can't end homelessness.

It's certainly not enough to change the trajectory of the market. If the US sells all at once, we could see prices dip. That would not feel good.

Is that a reason to sell or “wait and see” what happens?

No. We look at the bigger picture. Make sure you caught my market update from January 8, 2025.

In that update, I looked at some metrics, highlighted some crucial trends, and reviewed five more altcoins.

Scroll down for poll results and some content you may enjoy.

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Chart of the Week

Poll Results

In last week's rundown, I asked, “When do you suspect the cycle will peak?”

42% said before June.

This is not too far off from the results Raoul Pal got when he asked the same question. 38% of his responders said the same thing.

The key difference between Pal’s poll and mine?

8% of my responders said “the cycle already ended.” Pal didn't even give his readers the option.

Pal’s results reflect the consensus I see online and feel from people I know. Most people expect prices will rise throughout 2025.

Half of my subscribers think otherwise. They disagree with the consensus opinion (though, in fairness, one responder said Bitcoin would make another run above $100,000, along with an altseason).

What do I think?

Consensus opinion usually doesn't play out. The problem is, we don't know how the market will deviate from popular expectations.

That's the excitement!

Factors That’ll Drive Crypto Prices Up in 2025

Frank Chaparro from The Block talked to Milk Road’s Jay Hamilton about four factors that drive crypto—capital flows, US politics, financial professionals, and crypto-specific credit markets. They talk about the importance of watching Wall Street’s wholesalers and legacy financial institutions.

Watch the conversation, These 4 Factors Will Drive Crypto Prices Up in 2025 w/ Frank Chaparro.

I wouldn’t pay too much attention to the macro analysis. You want to tune into the crypto “keys” they talk about.

This will help you appreciate the bigger picture, understand market movements, stay calm, and have a happier experience.