Weekly Rundown - March 2, 2025

Action-packed and bursting with crucial info

In partnership with

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Are you enjoying today’s pump?

We've almost recovered the entirety of last week’s 18% drop. Nothing out of the ordinary for crypto, but notable nonetheless.

With the announcement of a US crypto reserve, we now know what tokens Trump’s team is holding. Tough to say whether the announcement makes us exit liquidity for the next pump or beneficiaries of the US government’s largess.

It'll be more interesting to see how the market reacts if Trump mentions crypto in his speech to Congress this week.

As promised in my New Year's resolutions and noted in several posts and emails, I updated the selling signals for my plan.

One person replied to one of those emails to mock and ridicule me for selling after a big crash. He or she either did not read what I wrote or does not understand English.

Don't be that person.

If you're not on the premium plan, you don't know what I'm doing or what my plan says to do. To that end, get my most recent market update.

In that update, I looked at the often-neglected US dollar and its role in our market circumstances, talked about that Elliott Wave 5, shared some important behaviors we’re seeing from HODLers and miners, and spent a little more time on our strategy for navigating the coming weeks.

It’s amazing how the people who told you to buy Bitcoin above $100,000 and prepare for an amazing altseason ALSO called for our recent crash / bear market AND ALSO called for today’s bounce.

True savants. Amazing predictive abilities. Uncanny timing.

We take the market as it comes.

Are you worried the bull market is over?

We’ll see. It would seem weird to have such an anticlimactic ending, but we know what to look for. Make sure you got the Buy/Sell/HODL alert from February 24, 2025.

Also, you should’ve exited the trade on S, formerly FTM, for 30% profit, as mentioned in a recent rundown and described in the trade alert update earlier this week.

Don’t forget the February recap, either.

That's a lot of content for a week! Unless we have an action related to my plan, you will only get a market update this week. Rest assured, March will have plenty more goodies.

Scroll down for poll results, answers to your questions, and other content you may enjoy.

You can reply to this email to contact me directly. Or, use this button to leave a comment at the bottom of any post.

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Bottom line: In exchange for Western money (and small amounts from other countries), El Salvador has to shut down its Chivo wallet and can’t force its people to accept Bitcoin anymore. Reports suggest it can’t buy more Bitcoin, either, but its Bitcoin wallet still shows daily purchases.

My take: Regulatory capture of a sovereign nation by the legacy financial system. In 2021, El Salvador adopted Bitcoin as legal tender and branded itself as a Bitcoin paradise. I guess the country now thinks the IMF can fix its debt problems and bring economic prosperity more than Bitcoin. Maybe it's better if governments let us keep our Bitcoin to ourselves?

Why you should care: Everybody else pins their hopes on governments pumping their bags, but we know they can also pull the rug, too.

Poll Results

In last week's rundown, I asked whether the total crypto market cap will higher or lower in July 2025.

This was probably the lowest participation I have ever had in a poll. Not sure if enough people responded to say the results represent my readership,but 80% said the total market cap will be higher in July than today.

What do I think?

It all depends on the “macro,” which starts and ends with the US. How long can this country go before its economy and stock market deteriorate, with knock-on effects for the rest of the world?

Questions and Answers

Some questions that came to my inbox.

In your last market update, you said the US government is intentionally weakening its economy. What do you mean?

Trump’s team is very honest and open about this. They want to undo everything that drove US economic growth over the past few years: immigration, trade, and government spending.

In their minds, if all goes well, this will happen quickly, fast enough to blame Biden and soon enough for the economy to recover before the 2026 elections. They want an outcome like Reagan’s in 1981. Use Google to find out what that looks like.

For details, read my January and February monthly posts.

If that’s the case, shouldn’t we sell everything and sit in cash for the rest of the year?

I can’t tell you what to do, but I can tell you timing the downturn is a fool‘s errand.

Politicians try to do lots of things. Sometimes, they fail.

Also, we don’t know how humans, businesses, and central banks will respond to any changes in the economic landscape. People are very resilient. Businesses are quite adaptable. Central banks have a lot of tricks up their sleeves.

In the US economy, households have a lot of cash and credit to cushion the blow from any economic downturn. Trump has a history of abruptly changing directions. You never know when your government will waive its magic wand with stimulus, bailouts, liquidity facilities, pre-emptive measures, etc.

With so many unknowns, you can only plan so much. It’s just too nebulous, complicated, and difficult to anticipate.

Bottom line: In 2023 or 2024, you could dismiss a US recession and bear market as hypothetical chatter. Now, it’s the path the US is taking.

Whether we will get that result?

Nobody knows.

What should we do?

Prepare.

Start with a free account with Empower. Tap the button below to get $50.

Once you create your account, you can link all your financial information to a dashboard that shows all of your investments, including your crypto. Use their calculators and planning tools to figure out how much to hedge or hire one of their financial advisors to figure this out for you.

The SEC says memecoins are legal now. Will you do one?

Very tempting.

I’m still a little skittish because I would want to reserve a pool of tokens for myself. I’m concerned that doing so will violate the law or fail the Howey test. Do you know any good lawyers with memecoin experience? Reply to this post or comment on it.

That said, if you would like to create a memecoin for this newsletter, please do so. Free, open launch, with no-strings attached. Make it a true memecoin you create for the community without my involvement or benefit! I only ask that you tell me about it 😀.

Why don't you have a plan for altcoins?

I treat each one as its own investment. With so many altcoins to keep track of, I can only set some targets for the overall altcoin market, with occasional special content like my review of the top 50 tokens.

I’d say pick your horse and ride it.

Natural market volatility makes your decision different from another’s. For example, somebody thanked me for a 1,000% gain on SYNT last year. That person's timing was better than mine! My returns have never even come close.

Who could blame you for selling some after a big upswing or buying some after a huge crash? Do what you need to do.

Can you teach me how to make those calls on Sonic and Bitcoin?

No calls here. That breeds complacency. You can make up for bad timing. Complacency kills.

These were decisions, not calls or predictions. It’s great that you’re happy with the results. Others are disappointed.

For me, good enough is good enough.

Relax and enjoy the ride!

Do you want to consult with me or chat? Schedule time on Tealfeed!

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